The saying that "any team can win on a given Sunday" definitely holds true in the NFL, where equality reigns supreme and also watered down talent make it hard for many teams to field a competitive group every week over the course of a season. An injury to a key player can usually have a profound impact on a team's capability to win and because of expansion, depth isn't exactly what it once was. And also that is why the cash line bet is really appealing.
A quick recap for those unfamiliar with the way it works. Every week, the sportsbook produces NFL game odds to be able to entice a much quantity of betting on each side of any match-up. They create their cash (10%) on what is called the rake.
In theory, sportsbooks don't worry about the end result of any game, although for anyone who bet around the Steelers (-5.5) last season vs . the Chargers and also saw a game winning TD returned simply by S Troy Palumalu as the game expired corrected, thus negating a 7 point victory and putting the final at 11-10, you might think otherwise, but this is how it is intended to be. And by the way, sportsbooks created a killing on that outcome. But returning to the money line, in which the point spread makes no difference; you are taking a team, possibly the favorite or underdog, and that matters would be the final score.
Now if you take a favorite who is (-325), you have got to bet $325 if you want to earn $100. On the other hand, the underdog in the circumstance would pay out $325 for each $100 you place down. In the former, as the odds are significantly in your favor, the gain is actually substantially less compared to the cost of the particular bet. The latter is where the actual potential lies.
So what's the most effective technique when choosing the underdog on money line? All the same elements as our point spread edition as well as momentum. Late last season, the Falcons headed into San Diego as the 4.5 point underdog, +180 on the money line. They were our own money line bet of this week.
Here's the factors we utilized to settle on them for the pick:
Teams: the Chargers couldn't get free from their own way over the first 3 quarters of the season; the defense was atrocious and the offense couldn't find the right stability to win games. The unexpected, surging Falcons, came into town winners of 3 of their previous 4 games.
Teams record on Road/Home: The Falcons were Two and three on the move (7-4 in general) while your Chargers were just Three and 2 at home ( 4-7 in general).
Date: The overall game was took part in the 13th week of year, when teams begin to make their playoff push, so a whole lot was on the line for both groups.
Weather: The weather was not an issue in San Diego. It's always mild in November and December and both groups are accustomed to playing in excellent weather conditions.
Momentum: The Falcons had earned 5 of their previous 7 games and were picking up steam while the Chargers, heading within the other direction, had lost 5 of their previous 7 contests, and also three in a row.
Consensus: The last score was 22-16, even though the six point margin of victory was not indicative of how lopsided the affair really was. Atlanta beat them in each and every facet of the game and took control from the very first quarter on, making us winners of our money line bet.
If you adhere to this strategy over the course of the season to recognize which games you will bet on, you will most likely find much more times than not that choosing the underdog with all the money line is definitely more attractive compared to taking the points.
A quick recap for those unfamiliar with the way it works. Every week, the sportsbook produces NFL game odds to be able to entice a much quantity of betting on each side of any match-up. They create their cash (10%) on what is called the rake.
In theory, sportsbooks don't worry about the end result of any game, although for anyone who bet around the Steelers (-5.5) last season vs . the Chargers and also saw a game winning TD returned simply by S Troy Palumalu as the game expired corrected, thus negating a 7 point victory and putting the final at 11-10, you might think otherwise, but this is how it is intended to be. And by the way, sportsbooks created a killing on that outcome. But returning to the money line, in which the point spread makes no difference; you are taking a team, possibly the favorite or underdog, and that matters would be the final score.
Now if you take a favorite who is (-325), you have got to bet $325 if you want to earn $100. On the other hand, the underdog in the circumstance would pay out $325 for each $100 you place down. In the former, as the odds are significantly in your favor, the gain is actually substantially less compared to the cost of the particular bet. The latter is where the actual potential lies.
So what's the most effective technique when choosing the underdog on money line? All the same elements as our point spread edition as well as momentum. Late last season, the Falcons headed into San Diego as the 4.5 point underdog, +180 on the money line. They were our own money line bet of this week.
Here's the factors we utilized to settle on them for the pick:
Teams: the Chargers couldn't get free from their own way over the first 3 quarters of the season; the defense was atrocious and the offense couldn't find the right stability to win games. The unexpected, surging Falcons, came into town winners of 3 of their previous 4 games.
Teams record on Road/Home: The Falcons were Two and three on the move (7-4 in general) while your Chargers were just Three and 2 at home ( 4-7 in general).
Date: The overall game was took part in the 13th week of year, when teams begin to make their playoff push, so a whole lot was on the line for both groups.
Weather: The weather was not an issue in San Diego. It's always mild in November and December and both groups are accustomed to playing in excellent weather conditions.
Momentum: The Falcons had earned 5 of their previous 7 games and were picking up steam while the Chargers, heading within the other direction, had lost 5 of their previous 7 contests, and also three in a row.
Consensus: The last score was 22-16, even though the six point margin of victory was not indicative of how lopsided the affair really was. Atlanta beat them in each and every facet of the game and took control from the very first quarter on, making us winners of our money line bet.
If you adhere to this strategy over the course of the season to recognize which games you will bet on, you will most likely find much more times than not that choosing the underdog with all the money line is definitely more attractive compared to taking the points.
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