If you are interested in learning more about gambling on the NFL this guide will help you out. As well as teaching the basics of how to pick football bets it will also look at how an NFL expert picks against the spread to make the really big money. Football is a game of inches. Here is how to break those measurements down a tad and weigh things in your favor.
There are four main areas of consideration you should be looking at before wagering on or against a team. The spread is, in some ways, the least important if you just want to lay a simple bet. If you want to make the big money, however, it becomes much more vital.
The first step would appear obvious and, in truth, it is something any NFL fan should be able to offer an opinion on. You look at the teams involved and you decide how they measure up. The main stat to compare here is win/ loss records and points scored and conceded. Try to get a decent handle on how one teams defence measures against the others offence and vice-versa.
Next you need to take into consideration 'where.' Playing at home and playing on the road are totally different propositions as the weekly results sheet tells us. In the vast majority of cases the home team wins. Even some ambitious, solid playoff teams have appalling road records.
What you should learn from that is that is two-fold. Firstly home field advantage is regularly the determining factor in a tight game. Secondly you should look out for strong sides with poor road records and bet against them when they travel. It might seem like a small piece of advice but it is a solid way to build up your winnings.
Date and weather are also huge factors. Some sides fall apart when the wind blows, so it is always a good idea to find out who they are. The period of the season is very important too as it affects what both sides have to gain from a win at this point.
Say you have the odds on favorites for this season's Superbowl playing a side who have an outside chance of getting a wild card spot. During the first few weeks of the season it would appear to be a fairly easy pick. If, however, it's the third week in December and the favorites have already qualified for the play-offs, while the underdogs are still chasing, the result is far less forgone.
The spread is worth paying attention to as it offers up some good money on teams that might otherwise seem like bad pay-outs. An NFL expert picks against the spread by finding one of two things - either a high flying franchise who have trouble making the spread or a poor performing side who despite losing nearly every game, somehow manage to cover nearly every week. Betting based on this statistic makes the really smart money.
There are four main areas of consideration you should be looking at before wagering on or against a team. The spread is, in some ways, the least important if you just want to lay a simple bet. If you want to make the big money, however, it becomes much more vital.
The first step would appear obvious and, in truth, it is something any NFL fan should be able to offer an opinion on. You look at the teams involved and you decide how they measure up. The main stat to compare here is win/ loss records and points scored and conceded. Try to get a decent handle on how one teams defence measures against the others offence and vice-versa.
Next you need to take into consideration 'where.' Playing at home and playing on the road are totally different propositions as the weekly results sheet tells us. In the vast majority of cases the home team wins. Even some ambitious, solid playoff teams have appalling road records.
What you should learn from that is that is two-fold. Firstly home field advantage is regularly the determining factor in a tight game. Secondly you should look out for strong sides with poor road records and bet against them when they travel. It might seem like a small piece of advice but it is a solid way to build up your winnings.
Date and weather are also huge factors. Some sides fall apart when the wind blows, so it is always a good idea to find out who they are. The period of the season is very important too as it affects what both sides have to gain from a win at this point.
Say you have the odds on favorites for this season's Superbowl playing a side who have an outside chance of getting a wild card spot. During the first few weeks of the season it would appear to be a fairly easy pick. If, however, it's the third week in December and the favorites have already qualified for the play-offs, while the underdogs are still chasing, the result is far less forgone.
The spread is worth paying attention to as it offers up some good money on teams that might otherwise seem like bad pay-outs. An NFL expert picks against the spread by finding one of two things - either a high flying franchise who have trouble making the spread or a poor performing side who despite losing nearly every game, somehow manage to cover nearly every week. Betting based on this statistic makes the really smart money.
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