Friday 24 May 2013

How are you thinking when you bet?

By Adam Withercroft


Most people does the same mistake when they are betting. They bet with their intuition, either do they have a favourite team, or a player, or a number. Or the worst, they "feel" the right bet.

Why is it that way? It goes way back, it's in our back bone. The ability to feel, and feel what to do, is the main reason humans have survived.

The evolution of human race hadn't come this far if it wasn't for the abilty to make the right choices. And to back your choices up with something, you use the only measurement tool you had. Namely you feelings and senses.

Now you're probably wondering what the heck this has to do with betting. I'll try to explain.

In the spirit of evolution, the individuals who could take advantage of earlier experiences to make better decisions would also outlive the individuals that couldn't. They developed an ability to learn from the past. The things that had went good before, would most definitely work again.

Therefore it has always been an advantage to "feel" what to do. The intuition is our best friend in that situation.

But when you're applying this instinct to betting, this same intuition very often will lead you the wrong way. It will distract you from making proper decisions. This is because of the filter you see everything through, rather than see things as they actually are.

Beginning to see where I'm going? To get the right measurement tools, instead of rely on what "feels" right, you hav to do research. Take real statistics and get everything black on white. That way you can make decisions and bets based on the true statistics, and not what you "feel". So what you need is a place to get statistics from. Because what happened in the passed will tell you what will happen next.

Where can you find statistics? Think about it for a moment. You will probably come up with some useful sites. Remember that notonly recent stats are important, but also previous and historical stats will matter.

To help you there are some good programs that will help you, which provides you with good research of statistics. A good program and betting service should help you to easy scan the stats and be able to place a bet that are more well based than you have done 'til now. That way you are much more likely to really make money on your betting. So go and do your research now.




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